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Written by Members of the Castleview Investment Committee

Is Recession on the Horizon?

Perhaps the most exasperating thing about recessions is that they’re easy to spot in hindsight but difficult to see coming until it’s too late. Investors who misread the economy’s signals might make the wrong moves at the right time or make the right moves at the wrong time. Either way, they risk losing money.

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The Fed Got Policy Right, but Not for the Right Reasons

The U.S. economy just had a pretty good year—growth and job creation were strong, the unemployment rate fell to lows not seen in decades and inflation stayed relatively mild. For the Federal Reserve, it seemed a decade of highly unorthodox monetary policy had finally paid off with an economy in a “sweet spot.”

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